Drew Jackson's Powder Alert

Drew Jackson's Powder Alert

Welcome skiers and snowboarders to my blog for ski conditions and Oregon snow experiences!

This is your home for the latest updates on weather and snow forecasts tailored to skiers and snowboarders. My name is Drew Jackson… I grew up skiing in Oregon and after earning my meteorology degree from Penn State University, I now work for FOX 12 Oregon as a meteorologist and weather forecaster each weeknight on the 8 O’Clock News (on PDX-TV) and the 11 O’Clock News (on KPTV FOX 12). This is the first of many blogs that will be posted right here throughout the winter, so check back frequently!

I’m also excited to announce a new “Powder Alert” e-mail service this winter in partnership with Ski Oregon. Those who sign-up will receive e-mails from me on a situational basis (primarily when big snows are expected and prior to big skiing/boarding weekends & holidays). It’s completely free, and I’ll start sending them once the snow starts accumulating. To sign up, head to the Ski Oregon site and sign up at the bottom of the page so you don’t miss out on great upcoming conditions!


And speaking of accumulating snow… that happens to be the topic of this first blog post. Snow… specifically, how much is expected this winter… was one of the main topics of the 16th Annual “What will the winter be like?” meeting on Friday, October 24th. Sponsored by the Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society, several of Oregon’s top climate forecasters boldly shared their predictions for the upcoming winter. Here are some of the details:

  • The strong La Nina conditions (colder than average Pacific Ocean water from South America west to the central Pacific) have faded and more “neutral” conditions are now present. Most climate forecasters agree that conditions are expected to remain in the “neutral” (neither La Nina nor El Nino) range for this winter. Unfortunately, neutral winters are the toughest to predict because they can feature quite a bit of variety.
  • One method of winter prediction that several forecasters use is called the “analog” forecasting method. With this method, forecasters analyze the current & recent-past conditions in the atmosphere & oceans and look for past years when similar conditions occurred. Here are the “analog” years to this year, according to two of the presenters, and the resulting snow situation in the Oregon Cascades:
    • 1955-1956 Huge snow winter… strong start in November, but nothing late in April/May
    • 1971-1972 Huge snow winter… strong start, big December & January, normal spring
    • 1974-1975 Huge snow winter… sluggish start, strong from December through April
    • 1975-1976 Huge snow winter… strong from start to finish
    • 1984-1985 Big snow winter… strong start, poor in January, then a strong finish
  • All of the analog years feature big snow years… and most of the forecasters agreed that this winter is likely to have AT LEAST an AVERAGE amount of snow, with the scale tipped towards above-average snowfall.

In summary, it seems doubtful that a bummer snow year is headed our way. Instead, all indications are that we’ll again be blessed with plentiful snow. For additional information about this winter’s outlook, check out this website.

So… when will the season start? Unfortunately, that question is nearly impossible to answer. All it takes is for the weather regime to switch to pattern that brings in 2-3 cold storms… and the lifts will be turning shortly thereafter.

Until next time,

Drew Jackson
KPTV FOX 12 meteorologist

Editor’s Note: Drew is our newest blogger and will write about his experiences playing in Oregon’s snow. To subscribe to Drew’s snow alerts, please head to Ski Oregon and sign up at the bottom!

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Have something to say? Your Comment

  1. Christy Barber says…

    Hello,

    As skiers and snowboardes are gearing up for the upcoming season, I’d like to personally invite them to join us at Anthony Lakes Ski Resort. One of Eastern Oregon’s most treasured diamonds, Anthony Lakes attrats skiers from Colorado to Vancouver B.C. Take the time to find out what all the fuss is about!

    If you have a season pass to any ski resort, we will give you $5 off your lift ticket. And, take advantage of our Friday Four Pack! Purchase 4 days of skiing or riding at Ski Anthony Lakes for only $79! Must purchase now, through December 24, 2008. Offer is valid ALL Fridays from January 1, 2009 — March 27, 2009. Use all four for yourself or take the family skiing! Redeem in person at the ticket office.

    We look forward to seeing you!

    http://www.anthonylakes.com
    ski@anthonylakes.com
    541.856.3277

    Written on November 10th, 2008 / Flag this Comment
  2. Tommy says…

    Drew,

    Bummer of a loss to Iowa- Hopefully you guys will take care of USC in the Rose Bowl- Moving on. Where’s my snow??? The Pac-Northwest barely has a inch. Looking at weather patterns its appears MT HOOD won’t be open for at least 2 or 3 weeks. Is this normal? I need real answers here I’m going into withdrawls!!
    Tommy

    Written on December 1st, 2008 / Flag this Comment
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